Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046434 0.053374 0.060559 0.068518 0.077058 0.085914 0.095764
2025-06-29 0.036952 0.047398 0.058856 0.072197 0.087157 0.103277 0.121830
2025-07-06 0.029073 0.041229 0.055260 0.072276 0.092015 0.113890 0.139679
2025-07-13 0.026720 0.040783 0.057611 0.078585 0.103450 0.131488 0.165022
2025-07-20 0.020837 0.035107 0.052999 0.076062 0.104121 0.136399 0.175634
2025-07-27 0.018785 0.034010 0.053740 0.079754 0.111939 0.149432 0.195466
2025-08-03 0.015991 0.031506 0.052377 0.080586 0.116112 0.158044 0.210057
2025-08-10 0.013426 0.028956 0.050675 0.080756 0.119294 0.165344 0.223009
2025-08-17 0.010830 0.025968 0.048088 0.079540 0.120561 0.170200 0.232955
2025-08-24 0.007933 0.021988 0.043731 0.075667 0.118213 0.170456 0.237227
2025-08-31 0.005929 0.019104 0.040658 0.073279 0.117570 0.172652 0.243710
2025-09-07 0.004722 0.017427 0.039228 0.073033 0.119613 0.178113 0.254113
2025-09-14 0.003552 0.015664 0.037713 0.072883 0.122169 0.184743 0.266672
2025-09-21 0.003223 0.015714 0.039180 0.077154 0.130818 0.199315 0.289340
2025-09-28 0.002362 0.014213 0.037904 0.077300 0.133839 0.206711 0.303138
2025-10-05 0.002429 0.015165 0.040894 0.083866 0.145689 0.225494 0.331207
2025-10-12 0.001480 0.012855 0.037910 0.081246 0.144795 0.227796 0.338637
2025-10-19 0.001308 0.012876 0.039136 0.085082 0.152872 0.241743 0.360725
2025-10-26 0.000932 0.011954 0.038494 0.085946 0.156755 0.250216 0.375922
2025-11-02 0.000599 0.010900 0.037469 0.086123 0.159617 0.257328 0.389392
2025-11-09 0.000299 0.009528 0.035624 0.084860 0.160345 0.261575 0.399188
2025-11-16 0.000065 0.007582 0.032237 0.080836 0.156923 0.260190 0.401687
2025-11-23 0.000003 0.006232 0.029881 0.078354 0.155615 0.261534 0.407616